Index to Rethinking – Formatted

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“Here’s what you don’t get to do. When you have children, you don’t get to say, “I was bad at math.” Because you are good at math. You could be better at math. You know how. Just work harder. Many people like to ‘brag’ that they are bad at math. Don’t do that to your kids. Don’t give them any excuses. You are good at math. I know. I grade your work and answer your good questions.”

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One group, looking for perfect square factors, had gotten this far,

One person asked the other, “Now what?” The other replied, “Just * deroot* the

What a great word! Dare I add “*deroot*” to the conversation next time we work such a problem? I think so..

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I woke up a 1:30 am the next morning knowing what Steven meant. At the beginning of the next class I warned my students to work left to right when combining logarithms and meet with Steven after class with the following explanation.

First let’s revisit the original issues remembering this codicil to PEMDAS :

Addition/subtraction are on the same hierarchical level of the order of operations and must be worked left to right. The same holds for multiplication/division.

Here is the issue for addition/subtraction.

The final numbers differ. Our agreement is that the first process, moving left to right, gives the “correct” answer. Correct in this context means what we have agreed such expressions should be evaluated left to right since order makes a difference.

Such expressions can be made unambiguous by remembering the definition of subtraction is just adding the opposite. Thus,

Now any order of evaluation gives the same result since addition is associative.

The same argument works for multiplication/division.

The first evaluation is “correct” and we can “fix” the issue by remembering that division is just multiplying by the reciprocal. Thus,

Now any order of evaluation gives the same result since multiplication is associative.

Now let’s use the properties of logarithms to simplify the following.

Again left to right gives the desired answer. This can be “fixed” as follows.

This simplification uses a property of logarithms that we didn’t make explicit in class, namely,

We have an interesting application of PEMDAS for simplifying logarithm expressions addressing about both subtraction and division.

All of the above to fix (explain) a defect in standard algebraic expression notation. Thanks to Steven for the excellent question.

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A first question would be “How well does the sample data represent the population?” – a question of confidence intervals. The R function, *MultinomialCI*, based on a paper by Cristina P. Sison and Joseph Glaz for this sample data,

gives these confidence intervals,

which are depicted on this chart.

The function treats the data as simply multinomial without using the ordinal aspect of the data. For such a small sample, n=39, the error is quite large, for instance the rubric data estimates that the student population in the developing category is between 18 and 50 percent.

A second question that could be asked is “How do these students compare to other students?” First I would like to compare before and after data. It might be possible to obtain data on the same students at an earlier time. Here at SOU we compare end of freshman year writing to capstone writing for specific students. To do this we can use the Wilcoxon Rank Sum test for paired data. This is a non-parametric statistical test that takes advantage of the data’s ordinal character. This is the data.

Note the added column the improvement, has After score minus Before score calculated. Using this R command: *wilcox.test(badata$Before,badata$After, paired = TRUE,alternative = “less”)* I got a p-value of .00002 which indicates that there was improvement.

Finally, it is possible to compare two populations with sample rubric data. This can be done with the Wilcoxon Rank-Sum test. The method essentially ranks all the data and sees if one population has more ranks higher than the other. This is the R command: *wilcox.test(badata$Y2014,badata$Y2015, paired = FALSE,alternative = “less”,na.action = na.omit) *Using this data,

R gave an approximate p-value of .48. There was no change from 2014 to 2015.

All this is fairly basic and pro forma and leaves out how to discover effects of other variables like gpa or major for example and there are better ways of doing all of it. I have spent my winter break immersed in Rethinking Statistics by Richard McElreath. This is a wonderful book and opened my eyes to the world of Bayesian modeling. I am attempting to build reliable models for modeling rubric data using the software that comes with the text. The process has been exciting and fulfilling. I will report my progress in Part III of this series.

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My death will break the more direct relations between my present experiences and future experiences, but it will not break various other relations.

When we die our immediate relationships are broken yet our influence on other people and for that matter the material universe lives on through memories people have of us and the artifacts we created, such artifacts, for example, as the words in this blog, the furniture I have made, the stone house I built.

It occurred to me that as teachers we are creating memories of ourselves in others whether we like it or not. These memories will become part of our students’ persons, generally a very small part and be passed on marginally to their children. This is consoling in one way but should also imbue us, teachers, with a sense of responsibility. I recall this sentence by Gilbert Highet,

It is a serious thing to infer with another man’s life.

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In 1932 John Von Neumann, the famous and formidable mathematician, “proved” that a result of Bohmian mechanics was impossible thus putting the theory to bed for, it turns out, 30 or so years at which time John Stewart Bell found errors in Von Neumann’s proof. A few more details to this story can be found here.

The title of this post expresses in some way a triviality. Any action in the present changes the course of events in the future – see every time-traveling science fiction movie. It’s just that we cannot know the magnitude of the resultant ripples in time. Yet, if the alternate theory of quantum behavior has been studied and deepened over that gap of more than 30 years might we not have other wonderful inventions like electromagnetic drive (if it works?)

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My students tell me that I have never grown up. I guess not. Childlike,I am still trying to make sense of my world. I read about economics to understand how money makes the world go round. I built a my own house and others and gained a sense of the physical world and how things are put together. I read chemistry to understand what makes matter matter. I read about cosmology and quantum science to understand my place in the universe. I obsessively read about politics and government to understand how people work together to thrive, or not. This last, no more.

NPR news will no longer wake me in the morning or play in the background as I eat breakfast or wash the dishes. Books on tape and silence will reign in my Camry. I will scan headlines but read no further. The opinion page will be skipped. I will resist to the best of my capacity political discussions with friends and strangers alike. I have suffered through too many dysfunctional wrong-headed presidencies. I must fight my way out of this depressive obsession with politics.

This effort will (has) created space in my brain that I need to fill with non-political thoughts. The saying goes “The devil makes work for idle hands.” It is also true that “the devil makes work for idle minds.” I need new things to think about.

So I am memorizing lines to a play. I am being very intentional about thinking about the next day’s lectures as I go to bed. I am learning a new (for me) way of doing statistics and plan to do all the R exercises in the amazing, Rethinking Statistics by Richard McElreath. I am ordering more math books to read. I am studying more Go games and reading more about playing bridge. I already feel freer.

The last stanza of The Jefferson Airplane’s White Rabbit seems appropriate to the times. But I will feed my head not with LSD but by learning and using new ideas, by disciplining my thinking, and as always taking care of the ones I love.

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